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FX Weekly Report
The FX Weekly Report provides the latest, in-depth forex technical analysis about the FX market each week. By Pierre Charlebois.

More USD strength is likely but I still question the overall trend

October 25, 2009 at 11:17 am • Posted in General

This may be a USD bottom but I am still using caution until we see more evidence a turn has started in earnest.

USD Index – The trend is still intact. 75.00 may prove to be the psychological barrier however a true break has not yet occurred.

USDindex_Oct_25_09

 

EUR/USD – I am still cautious due to the nature of the pull back from the top of 1.5059. The shape is not what I would like to see from an Elliott Wave view. However I have been wrong before about initial wave structures and I still see the upside as limited. So I am about 50/50 on this pair as to whether the top is in place.

EURUSD_Oct_25_09

EURUSD_Oct_25_09_15min

 

GBP/USD – The move down from the the top on this pair is clearly impulsive. However the structure preceding it could be evidence that it is a wave C of a correction. What I would really like to see before calling a top is a 3 Wave pull-back and further drop to new lows. Whereas a new high would once again put 1.70 back in the picture.

GBPUSD_Oct_25_09

 

USD/JPY – Reaching overbought at this point. Direction unclear to me.

USDJPY_Oct_25_09

 

USD/CHF – Clearly the downside is limited. Whether the bottom is truly in place or not remains to be seen.

USDCHF_Oct_25_09

 

AUD/USD – As with many pairs the upside appears limited but not guaranteed.

audUSD_Oct_25_09

 

NZD/USD – As with the AUD/USD, a correction is overdue. Where is the top?

NZDUSD_Oct_25_09

 

USD/CAD – Current trend-line could define the trend

USDCAD_Oct_25_09

 

EUR/JPY – In the bigger view I think this should top out and drop again.

EURJPY_Oct_25_09

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